Showing posts with label Silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Silver. Show all posts

Friday, February 15, 2008

Let's Legalize Competing Currencies

By Ron Paul

Before the US House of Representatives, February 13, 2008

I rise to speak on the concept of competing currencies. Currency, or money, is what allows civilization to flourish. In the absence of money, barter is the name of the game; if the farmer needs shoes, he must trade his eggs and milk to the cobbler and hope that the cobbler needs eggs and milk. Money makes the transaction process far easier. Rather than having to search for someone with reciprocal wants, the farmer can exchange his milk and eggs for an agreed-upon medium of exchange with which he can then purchase shoes.

This medium of exchange should satisfy certain properties: it should be durable, that is to say, it does not wear out easily; it should be portable, that is, easily carried; it should be divisible into units usable for everyday transactions; it should be recognizable and uniform, so that one unit of money has the same properties as every other unit; it should be scarce, in the economic sense, so that the extant supply does not satisfy the wants of everyone demanding it; it should be stable, so that the value of its purchasing power does not fluctuate wildly; and it should be reproducible, so that enough units of money can be created to satisfy the needs of exchange.

Over millennia of human history, gold and silver have been the two metals that have most often satisfied these conditions, survived the market process, and gained the trust of billions of people. Gold and silver are difficult to counterfeit, a property which ensures they will always be accepted in commerce. It is precisely for this reason that gold and silver are anathema to governments. A supply of gold and silver that is limited in supply by nature cannot be inflated, and thus serves as a check on the growth of government. Without the ability to inflate the currency, governments find themselves constrained in their actions, unable to carry on wars of aggression or to appease their overtaxed citizens with bread and circuses.

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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Casey's Daily Resource Plus - 12/02/2008

Precious Metals

Gold seems to have found a new level around which to gather itself, as it meandered either side of $920 during the New York session on Monday, before settling at $922.55/oz., up $4.35. Overnight, gold has been flat.

Unstoppable platinum had another monster day, propelled to a record close above $1900 barely two weeks after first breaching $1700, as it ended at $1934/oz., up $52. Overnight, platinum has pushed higher.

Silver spiked sharply from mid-morning through until noon, after which it backed off about 15 cents, but still closed at $17.40, up 29 cents. Overnight, silver is trending higher.

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Saturday, February 9, 2008

The Fed and The Sorcerer's New Apprentice

Uncle Sam Crying "Uncle!"

by Antal E. Fekete


Tertium datur

People tend to think in terms of black-and-white. Many of my correspondents think that either hyperinflation or deflation is in store for the dollar; tertium non datur (no third possibility given). I would say tertium datur. The third possibility is a hybrid of hyperinflation and deflation. I described this scenario in my previous article "Opening the Mint to Gold and Silver". It is possible, even probable, that we shall witness collapsing world trade and collapsing world employment together with competitive currency devaluations, as the three superpowers compete in trying to corner gold. The lure of gold is very strong. "There is no fever like gold fever" and, contrary to conventional wisdom, governments are especially susceptible.

A large part of the problem is that the Central Bank is helpless in the face of bond speculation. The Fed is no Sorcerer. It is the Sorcerer's Apprentice. It can pump unlimited amounts of "liquidity" into the system, but cannot make it flow uphill. As we shall see, new dollars flow to the bond market causing a lot of mischief there, instead of flowing to the commodity market as hoped by the Fed.

Up to now leading commodities have outperformed gold. That could change. A select few commodities might continue in the bull-mode for a time, although gold could easily beat them. Most other commodities might go into a bear-mode similar to that of the commodity markets of the 1930's. If that's what was in store, then most investors would be totally lost. They would be navigating without a compass. There would be endless debates whether the country is experiencing deflation of hyperinflation. Your motto in this hybrid scenario should be: "expect the unexpected".

Of course, the Fed will keep printing dollars like crazy. Few of them, if any, will go into commodities. Indeed, most of the newly created dollars will go into bond speculation. Why? Because commodity bulls are running into headwind and face grave risks. By contrast, bond bulls enjoy a pleasant tailwind. Bond speculation is virtually risk-free. Under our irredeemable dollar bond bulls have a built-in advantage. The Fed has to make periodic trips to the bond market in order to make its regular open-market purchases of bonds to augment the money supply. In order to win, all the bond speculator has to do is to stalk the Fed and forestall its bond purchases. This is the Achillean heel of Keynesianism: it makes bond speculation inherently asymmetric favoring the bulls, and that will ultimately derail the economy on the deflation-side of the track.

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Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Ron Paul on the coming Economic Collapse

Click here to watch the full interview 38.35min

Taking a Dump

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is reporting that Switzerland's central bank is to dump a further 250 tons of gold. The stink you smell is manipulation.

There are two ways in which you can look at this situation:

  1. Gold has continued to rise over the last seven years, amid Central Banksters dumping their Gold reserves. Without this overt manipulation, who knows where the price of Gold would have been today? Central Bank Inflation will continue to play a major role over the next couple of years. Trying to hide it by pushing down the price of Gold , will have the opposite effect on the price of Gold in the long run. You can fool some of the people some of the time, but you can't fool all of the people all of the time.
  2. Huge sell-offs like these might drive the price of Gold down, but inadvertantly, that creates an opportunity to buy more Gold at a lower price. Also, remember that the cost for mines to produce an ounce of Gold has gone up immensly. If the price of Gold is too low, there will be little incentive for mines to consider investing in future mining projects. On top of that, South-Africa's production levels are decreasing at an alarming rate. As of January 2008, China has overtaken SA as the world's number one gold producer.

Therefore, unlike the Central Banks, I don't have any intention of taking a Golden dump.

FMM comment: Please note that I'm not dishing out any investment advice. I'm just sharing my oppinion.

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Four signs that gold has further to rise

It's been a great start to the year for gold - and its fellow precious metals - so far.

In fact, I’m beginning to wonder if my target of a high in gold of $1150 an ounce this year was a little conservative. Perhaps I’m feeling too exuberant and that’s a warning signal, but there are certain signs that suggest an intermediate-term top is coming - I'll tell you what they are in a moment - and I don’t see many of them.

In fact, if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates later today by half a point, we might even see my target before the end of February...

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